The article examines the escalating confrontation between Pakistan and Afghanistan’s Taliban authorities, driven by Islamabad’s claim that the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan operates from Afghan territory to launch high-casualty attacks inside Pakistan. It outlines the TTP’s origins, ideology, leadership evolution, and resurgence following the Taliban’s return to power in Kabul in August 2021, as well as its strategic objective of undermining Pakistan’s state authority. The piece details Pakistan’s expanding military response, including airstrikes reaching Kabul and Kandahar in February 2026, and Afghanistan’s retaliatory measures, framing the crisis as a sanctuary dispute with significant regional implications. It concludes by assessing likely pathways ranging from sustained tit-for-tat conflict to negotiated de-escalation, while emphasizing the structural dilemma that makes prolonged instability along the Durand Line the most probable outcome.
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